Possession tells you who had the ball. Territory helps explain who controlled where the match was played. Learn field tilt, box entries and territorial pressure.
Football commentary often uses possession as a shortcut for control. A team has 64% of the ball, so we say it controlled the match. Sometimes that is accurate. Sometimes it describes almost nothing about…
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry and Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal show why the final score is only the starting point when we want to understand a football match.
Expected goals can tell you something the scoreline cannot. But it can also leave out parts of the game that matter. The trick is knowing what question xG is actually answering.